91S presently lies about 980 kilometers north east of Mauritius. Sustained winds are already 60 kph. We can say 91S is already a depression, just a step short of a cyclone.
In the next two days it will move west in the South Western Indian Ocean. By April 7, 2015, it will be about 630 kms NNE of Mauritius. After which it will intensify into a tropical cyclone by next day, Wednesday. The storm will then start moving south.
By April 9, 2015, Thursday, it will have turned into a powerful cyclone with sustained winds of 140 kph. It will be just 400 kms NNE of Mauritius on Thursday.
There is a chance that the cyclone (Ikola?) may intensify even more. We are looking at the possibility of a category 4 or 5 hurricane.
Present forecast say the cyclone will move between Rodrigues island and Mauritius. But even then Mauritius will face very bad weather. The situation will be made worse by the fact that cyclone Ikola will be a slow moving cyclone.
SEE THE CYCLONE LIVE
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| WEATHER FORECAST MAP: TROPICAL CYCLONE IKOLA (?) MOVING PAST MAURITIUS ON APRIL 12, 2015 |
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| FORECAST MAP ON APRIL 9, 2015 |
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